NgoJulayi, ngenxa yemozulu eqhubekayo yokushisa okuphezulu kwiindawo eziphambili zekotoni e-China, imveliso entsha yekotoni kulindeleke ukuba ixhase amaxabiso aphezulu ekotoni aqhubekayo, kwaye amaxabiso amabala afikelele kwinqanaba elitsha lonyaka, kwaye i-Index ye-Cotton Price Index (CCIndex3128B) iphakame ukuya kwi-18,070 yuan / ton. Amasebe afanelekileyo akhuphe isibhengezo sokuba ukuze kuhlangatyezwane kakuhle neemfuno zomqhaphu kumashishini e-cotton textile, i-2023 ye-cotton import sliding tax quota iya kukhutshwa, kwaye ukuthengiswa kwe-cotton ethile yokugcina i-central reserve yaqala ekupheleni kukaJulayi. Ngamazwe ngamazwe, ngenxa yokuphazamiseka kwemozulu embi njengokushisa okuphezulu kunye nemvula, imveliso yekotoni entsha kwiNyakatho yeNtlabathi kulindeleke ukuba inyuke, kwaye amaxabiso ekotoni anyuke kakhulu, kodwa phantsi kweempembelelo zokulindela ukudodobala koqoqosho, kuye kwakho imeko eyothusayo ebanzi, kwaye ukunyuka kungaphantsi kwekhaya, kwaye umahluko phakathi kwamaxabiso ekotoni asekhaya nakwamanye amazwe uye wanda.
I. Utshintsho kumaxabiso abonakalayo ekhaya nakwamanye amazwe
(1) Ixabiso lasekhaya lomqhaphu lenyuke laya kutsho kwelona nqanaba liphezulu lonyaka
NgoJulayi, echatshazelwa yimiba efana nokunyuka okulindelweyo ekunciphiseni imveliso ngenxa yemozulu ephezulu yobushushu kummandla womqhaphu kunye nolindelo oluqinileyo lokubonelela, amaxabiso ekotoni asekhaya agcina umkhwa oqinileyo, kwaye ikamva lomqhaphu likaZheng liqhubekile nokunyuka liqhubela phambili amaxabiso ekotton asekhaya aphezulu, i-24th China i-cotton price index inyuke yaya kwi-18,070 yuan/ton, inqanaba elitsha elitsha ukusukela kulo nyaka. Ngaphakathi kwenyanga, i-quota yerhafu kunye nomgaqo-nkqubo wokuthengiswa kwekotoni iye yabhengezwa, ngokusisiseko ngokuhambelana nokulindela kweemarike, icala elifunwayo eliphakamileyo libuthathaka, kwaye ixabiso lekotoni linokulungiswa okufutshane ekupheleni kwenyanga. Ngomhla wama-31, isalathisi sexabiso lekotoni laseTshayina (CCIndex3128B) i-17,998 yuan/toni, inyuke nge-694 yuan ukusuka kwinyanga edlulileyo; Ixabiso lenyanga eliphakathi laliyi-17,757 yuan/toni, ukuya kuma-477 yuan ngenyanga-ngenyanga kunye ne-1101 yuan unyaka nonyaka.
(2) amaxabiso ekotoni exesha elide anyuke inyanga nenyanga
NgoJulayi, ixabiso lomqhaphu omde wasekhaya linyuke ukusuka kwinyanga edlulileyo, kwaye ixabiso lentengiselwano ye-137-grade ye-cotton ende ekupheleni kwenyanga yayiyi-24,500 ye-yuan/toni, inyuke nge-800 ye-yuan ukusuka kwinyanga edlulileyo, ingaphezulu kwe-China Cotton Price Index (CCIndex3128B) 6502 umahluko we-yuan ngenyanga edlulileyo. Umndilili wexabiso lentengiselwano yenyanga ye-137-inqanaba lomqhaphu elide yi-24,138 yuan/toni, ukunyuka kwe-638 ye-yuan ukusuka kwinyanga edlulileyo, kunye ne-23,887 ye-yuan ngonyaka-ngonyaka.
(3) Amaxabiso womqhaphu wamazwe ngamazwe abethe phezulu kwiinyanga ezintandathu ezidlulileyo
NgoJulayi, amaxabiso ekotoni ngamazwe ahlala kuluhlu olubanzi lwe-80-85 cent / pound. Ukuphazamiseka kwemozulu rhoqo kumazwe amaninzi avelisa umqhaphu kumantla eHemisphere, ukunyuka okulindelweyo kokuthotywa konikezelo olutsha lonyaka, kunye namaxabiso entengiso yexesha elizayo xa sele ebaleke waya kwi-88.39 cents / pound, malunga nesiqingatha sonyaka ophezulu. NgoJulayi I-ICE ikontrakthi engundoqo yekontraki yenyanga ye-avareji yokuhlalisa ixabiso le-82.95 yeesenti / iponti, inyanga-ngenyanga (i-80.25 yeesenti / iponti) inyuke nge-2.71 yeesenti, okanye i-3.4%. Isalathiso sexabiso lomqhaphu laseTshayina i-FCIndexM eliphakathi kwenyanga ne-94.53 yeesenti/eponti, inyuke nge-0.9 yeesenti ukusuka kwinyanga edlulileyo; Ekupheleni kwe-96.17 yeesenti / i-pound, i-1.33 yeesenti ukusuka kwinyanga edlulileyo, intlawulo ye-1% yathotywa nge-16,958 yuan / ton, eyayingaphantsi kwendawo yasekhaya ye-1,040 yuan ngexesha elifanayo. Ekupheleni kwenyanga, ngenxa yokungaphumeleli kwamaxabiso e-cotton kumazwe ngamazwe ukuqhubeka nokunyuka, umqhaphu wasekhaya ugcinwe ukusebenza okuphezulu, kwaye umahluko phakathi kwamaxabiso angaphakathi nangaphandle wanda kwakhona malunga ne-1,400 yuan.
(4) Ii-odolo ze-textile ezingonelanga kunye neentengiso ezibandayo
NgoJulayi, imarike ye-textile off-season iqhubekile, njengoko amaxabiso e-cotton enyuka, amashishini aphakamisa isicatshulwa somqhaphu wekotoni, kodwa ukwamkelwa kwabavelisi abasezantsi akubanga phezulu, ukuthengiswa kweentambo kusabanda, i-inventory yemveliso egqityiweyo iyaqhubeka ikhula. Ekupheleni kwenyanga, ii-odolo ze-textile zasekhaya ziphuculwe, kunye nethuba lokubuyisela kancinci. Ngokukodwa, ixabiso lentengiselwano yomsonto osulungekileyo womqhaphu we-KC32S kunye ne-JC40S edibeneyo ekupheleni kwe-24100 yuan/toni kunye ne-27320 yuan/toni, inyuke nge-170 yuan kunye ne-245 yuan ngokulandelelanayo ukusuka ekupheleni kwenyanga edlulileyo; I-polyester staple fiber ekupheleni kwe-7,450 yuan/toni, inyuke nge-330 yuan ukusuka ekupheleni kwenyanga ephelileyo, ifayibha ye-viscose esisiseko ekupheleni kwe-12,600 yeyuan/toni, yehle ngama-300 eyuan ukusuka ekupheleni kwenyanga ephelileyo.
2. Uhlalutyo lwezinto ezichaphazela utshintsho lwamaxabiso ekhaya nakwamanye amazwe
(1) Ukukhutshwa kwezabelo zomqhaphu wokutyibilika
Ngomhla we-20 kaJulayi, iKomishoni yoPhuhliso lweSizwe kunye noHlaziyo ikhuphe isibhengezo, ukwenzela ukukhusela iimfuno zekotoni zamashishini e-textile, emva kophando kunye nesigqibo, ukukhutshwa kwamva nje kwe-2023 ye-cotton tariff quota ngaphandle kwe-quota yokungeniswa kwerhafu ekhethiweyo (emva koko kuthiwa "i-cotton import sliding tariff quota"). Ukukhutshwa kwe-cotton non-state trade import sliding tax quota ye-750,000 tons, ngaphandle kokunciphisa indlela yorhwebo.
(2) Ukuthengiswa kwenxalenye yomqhaphu osembindini wolondolozo kuya kuququzelelwa kungekudala
NgoJulayi 18, amasebe achaphazelekayo akhuphe isibhengezo, ngokweemfuno zamasebe karhulumente achaphazelekayo, ukwenzela ukuba kuhlangatyezwane kakuhle neemfuno zomqhaphu kumashishini asonta umqhaphu, umbutho wakutshanje wokuthengiswa komqhaphu ombindi. Ixesha: Ukususela ekupheleni kukaJulayi 2023, usuku lokusebenza ngokusemthethweni kwilizwe ngalinye luhlulwe ukuthengiswa; Inani leentengiso ezidweliswe imihla ngemihla zicwangciswa ngokwemeko yemarike; Ixabiso elidwelisiweyo lomgangatho wentengiso limiselwa ngokuhambelana namandla emarike, ngokwemigaqo, edityaniswe kumaxabiso amabala womqhaphu asekhaya nakwamanye amazwe, abalwe yimalike yentengiso yasekhaya umqhaphu webala lesalathiso samaxabiso kunye nesalathiso sexabiso lemalike yemarike yezizwe ngezizwe ngokobunzima be-50%, kwaye ihlengahlengiswe kanye ngeveki.
(3) Imozulu engathandekiyo kulindeleke ukuba ikhokelele ekuboneleleni ngokungqongqo komqhaphu omtsha
NgoJulayi, i-Indiya kunye ne-United States ngokulandelelana zijongene nokuphazamiseka kwemozulu embi njengemvula enkulu yendawo kunye nobushushu obuphezulu obuqhubekayo kunye nembalela eTexas, phakathi kwayo i-cotton yase-United States kwindawo yokutyala yokunciphisa kakhulu, imbalela yangoku idibene kunye nexesha elizayo lenkanyamba yenza ukuba imveliso yokunciphisa inkxalabo iqhubeke ikhula, yenza isiteji sokuxhasa i-ICE cotton. Ngexesha elifutshane, imarike yomqhaphu yasekhaya nayo ixhalabile malunga nokuncitshiswa kwemveliso ngenxa yobushushu obuphezulu obuqhubekayo eXinjiang, kwaye ikontrakthi ephambili yomqhaphu weZheng idlula i-yuan eyi-17,000/ton, kwaye ixabiso lendawo liyanyuka ngexabiso lekamva.
(4) Imfuno yeTelephu iyaqhubeka nokuba buthathaka
NgoJulayi, imarike esezantsi iqhubekile nokuba buthathaka, abarhwebi umqhaphu efihliweyo uluhlu lwempahla inkulu, ilaphu engwevu link boot ephantsi, imizi-mveliso elukiweyo balumke malunga nokuthengwa kwempahla ekrwada, uninzi elinde ifandesi umqhaphu reserve kunye nokukhutshwa quota. Ikhonkco elijikelezayo lijongene nengxaki yokulahleka kunye nokusilela kweemveliso ezigqityiweyo, kwaye ukuhanjiswa kwexabiso lekhonkco leshishini kuvaliwe.
Ixesha lokuposa: Aug-15-2023
